Nightly Update April 19, 2020-As Of 2359GMT


Wuhan Virus Numbers: Nightly Update April 19, 2020-As Of 2359GMT

President Donald Trump speaks about the coronavirus in the James Brady Press Briefing Room of the White House, Thursday, April 16, 2020, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

This is the 33rd in a series of nightly updates regarding Wuhan Virus numbers in these United States. As of 2359Z, the below charts reflect current U.S. Wuhan virus numbers.

Chart One’s data table shows Total Reported Infections, Total Reported Fatalities, and estimated Mortality Rate. The upper graph, shows the reported number of NEW infections by date. As more test materials have made into the field and been put to good use, trend lines are becoming more clear, even if at times, counterintuitive. Today’s number of new infections reported, is 25,655, which is 3,402 fewer than yesterday. The curve in new infections is still moving in the right direction.

Wuhan Virus Numbers: Nightly Update April 19, 2020-As Of 2359GMT

The lower graph shows new reported U.S. Fatalities. Today, we added 1,540 to the total count of American deaths, raising the total to 40,554. This was 320 fewer than yesterday…despite the erroneous classification procedures now promoted by the Federal government.

The second chart shows the estimated U.S. Wuhan Virus Mortality rate. The Mortality Rate (M/R) (calculated by dividing the number of reported U.S. Infections into the number of reported U.S Fatalities) remains over 5%

Wuhan Virus Numbers: Nightly Update April 19, 2020-As Of 2359GMT

This chart also contains a “What If” graphic. It represents the M/R for reported infections. It also shows the M/R if we assume for each reported case of Wuhan Virus, there are 1, 2 or 3 other persons out there with it. For today’s report:

M/R = 5.31%

+1 = 2.65%
+2 = 1.77%
+3 = 1.33%

Analysis: Today, we see the evidence of continued artificial tampering with the numbers, albeit more discrete than Mayor DeBlasio’s open and notorious input on the 14th of this month.

Going forward and based on new information now becoming ubiquitous, we will adjust the “what if” numbers to levels more in line with what new research is finding out. Before doing so, I will publish an OpEd describing our methodology and the evidence it is based upon. Any SWAGs will be noted. Stay tuned.

The Red State Team hopes this is of some value. Whether it is or isn’t, please let me know in the comments.

Prayers for all the folks on the front lines of this effort who are putting themselves at risk on our behalf.

Below is the screenshot of the Worldometers site, showing the “as of” timestamp for the data in this post.

Wuhan Virus Numbers: Nightly Update April 19, 2020-As Of 2359GMT

** On the first chart, I have “hidden” the daily entries from March 1-5, due to space considerations. The data is still reflected in the graphs. Here is a link to the last report that has March 1-5 table data visible, if you need it.

Wuhan Full Table Report

Mike Ford

Mike Ford, a retired Infantry Officer, writes on Military, Foreign Affairs and occasionally dabbles in Political and Economic matters. 



Source link

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *