Wuhan Virus Numbers: Nightly Update April 12, 2020


Wuhan Virus Numbers: Nightly Update April 12, 2020 - as of 2359 GMT

President Donald Trump speaks about the coronavirus in the James Brady Press Briefing Room of the White House, Tuesday, April 7, 2020, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

This is the 26th in a series of nightly updates regarding Wuhan Virus numbers in these United States. As of 2359Z, the below charts reflect current U.S. Wuhan virus numbers.

Chart One’s data table shows Total Infections, Total Fatalities, and the Mortality Rate. The upper graph shows the number of NEW infections by date. Today’s number of new infections is 27,523, which is 2,840 fewer than yesterday. The curve in new infections is still moving in the right direction.

Wuhan Virus Numbers: Nightly Update April 12, 2020 - as of 2359 GMT

The lower graph shows new U.S. Fatalities. Today, we added 1,526 to the total count of American deaths, raising the total to 22,103. This was 304 fewer than yesterday…despite “innovative” classification procedures now promoted by the federal government. This is a 531 person decline in new fatalities in 2 days. Fingers crossed…this trend will continue.

The second chart shows the U.S. Wuhan Virus Mortality rate. The Mortality Rate (M/R) (calculated by dividing the number of reported U.S. Infections into the number of reported U.S Fatalities) remains well over 3%. I remain convinced that this is an artifact based on the unknown number of folks who have had the Wuhan Virus, survived it, but never got tested.

Wuhan Virus Numbers: Nightly Update April 12, 2020 - as of 2359 GMT

This chart also contains a “What If” graphic. It represents the M/R for reported infections. It also shows the M/R if we assume for each reported case of Wuhan Virus, there are 1, 2 or 3 other persons out there with it. For today’s report:

M/R = 3.94%

+1 = 1.97%
+2 =1.31%
+3 = 0.99%

Analysis: The numbers, except for the artificially inflated Mortality Rate, are moving in the right direction. I’d like to see 2-3 more days with numbers like this.

The RedState Team hopes this is of some value. Whether it is or isn’t, please let me know in the comments.

Prayers for all the folks on the front lines of this effort who are putting themselves at risk on our behalf.

Below is the screenshot of the Worldometers site, showing the “as of” timestamp for the data in this post.

Wuhan Virus Numbers: Nightly Update April 12, 2020 - as of 2359 GMT

** On the first chart, I have “hidden” the daily entries from March 1-5, due to space considerations. The data is still reflected in the graphs. Here is a link to the last report that has March 1-5 table data visible, if you need it.

Wuhan Full Table Report

Mike Ford

Mike Ford, a retired Infantry Officer, writes on Military, Foreign Affairs and occasionally dabbles in Political and Economic matters. 



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