Drunkblogging Super Tuesday
Biden needed a big win in Texas — which polls showed him getting right up until yesterday — to make up for expected weak performances in the South, and perhaps some closer decisions in the Midwest and New England.
Instead, Sanders may have lost Texas, got creamed in most of the South, and underperformed everywhere else (at best). To make up for that, Sanders needs a much bigger margin of victory in CA than seems possible now.
It’s a disaster for him.
When you spent all those millions to buy the Virginia government, it was with candidates who weren’t you.
-Your friendly neighborhood VodkaPundit
I don’t know how Sanders catches up after losing four out of tonight’s Big Five states, some by yuge margins.
Neither does Sanders.
Well look at this.
With about 1/3rd reporting, Biden is within a point or so of Sanders in Texas.
If you’re around my age (I’m 50), you LOLed.
My back-of-the-envelope math had Sanders at maybe 200 in CA, but even that was predicated on Biden getting a traditional-sized bounce out of South Carolina, instead of the Mega Super Duper Happy Fun Ball bounce he got instead.
I’ll repeat my question from earlier: How much better would Biden be doing if Bloomberg hadn’t jumped in to save the party from a Biden collapse?
If Warren slips under the threshold, that’s good news for Sanders.
Yes, yes, yes — we all knew that. Foregone conclusion.
But by how much? All that matters is the delegate count.